Morrison, Miller pace Marlins over Braves
Baseball Betting Lines
09/03/2010 - Miami, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Logan Morrison tripled twice, scored two times and drove in a run in support of five solid innings from Andrew Miller as Florida downed Atlanta, 6-1, to being a three-game set.
Chad Tracy had a key two-run double and Hanley Ramirez went 1-for-2 with a pair of runs scored, two walks, a stolen base and an RBI for the Marlins, who claimed their third win in a row and have now alternated three game winning and losing streaks over their last nine games.
Miller (1-0) allowed the lone run on seven hits while walking three and fanning six to pick up his first win since July 4 of last season. Four different hurlers came out of the bullpen to blank the visitors over the final four frames.
Kenshin Kawakami (1-10) took the loss after lasting only three innings in his first start since June 26. The right-hander yielded five runs on five hits and four walks while fanning two for the Braves, who lost a second straight and saw their lead over Philadelphia in the NL East trimmed to a single game after the Phillies blanked Milwaukee, 1-0, earlier in the night.
Pebble Beach, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Mark Calcavecchia fired an eight-under 64 Friday to take a two-stroke lead after the first round of the First Tee Open. Calcavecchia fired his 64 at Del Monte Golf Course, which is one of two courses used
<< Hamels, Ruiz help Phils nip Brewers
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Carlos Ruiz drove in the lone run of the
game and Cole Hamels pitched seven strong innings, as the Philadelphia
Phillies snuck past the Milwaukee Brewers, 1-0, in the opener of a three-game
series
<< Report: Giants trade for Sage Rosenfels
Minneapolis, MN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New York Giants have apparently found
a backup quarterback after reportedly acquiring Sage Rosenfels from the
Minnesota Vikings.
The Minneapolis Star Tribune cited sources as confirming the mov
<< A's sign Hermida, assign him to Triple-A Sacramento
Oakland, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Oakland Athletics signed outfielder Jeremy
Hermida on Friday after he was recently released by the Boston Red Sox.
He was sent to Triple-A Sacramento.
Hermida, who appeared in 52 games for the Red So
<< Clijsters, Venus roll into U.S. Open fourth round
Flushing Meadows, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Defending champion Kim Clijsters and
Venus Williams took easy third-round wins Friday at the U.S. Open.
The second-seeded Clijsters dropped the first three games of her match
against 27th-se
Houston, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Houston Texans head coach Gary Kubiak conceded Friday that the team had cut longtime kicker Kris Brown. Kubiak did not want to discuss the whole of the team's cuts at Friday's press conference, saying they
Jones, Alvarez and Doumit power Pirates past Nats >>
Pittsburgh, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Garrett Jones hit two doubles and drove in
three runs, leading Pittsburgh to an 8-5 win over Washington to begin a three-
game weekend series at PNC Park.
Ryan Doumit homered among three hits for the Pi
Rays down O's to keep pace in AL East >>
Baltimore, MD (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Carl Crawford went 3-for-5 with an RBI and a
run scored, as the Tampa Bay Rays beat Baltimore, 4-1, in the opener of a
three-game series at Camden Yards.
Evan Longoria, Ben Zobrist and Reid Brignac
Dodgers' activate Padilla from DL >>
Los Angeles, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Los Angeles Dodgers activated
pitcher Vicente Padilla from the 15-day disabled list on Friday prior
to the opening of a weekend set with division rival San Francisco.
The veteran ri
Bodine's fuel holds up for Kentucky win >>
Sparta, KY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Todd Bodine overcame a spin and then conserved
enough fuel at the finish to pull off a stunning victory in the Built Ford
Tough 225 Camping World Truck Series race at Kentucky Speedway.
Bodine, the curren
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Sportsbook Betting Lines
Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Why Sports Betting Lines Change
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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